[#Euribor](<https://spainnews.co.uk/hashtag/euribor>) #Mortgages [#ECB](<https://spainnews.co.uk/hashtag/ecb>) #EurozoneEconomy #InterestRates



# Euribor expected to drop to 3.2% in October 2026

29 October 2026 at 14:30

> The primary mortgage indicator falls as the ECB balances high inflation and oil prices ahead of a potential December interest rate hike.

The twelve-month **Euribor**, the primary indicator for variable mortgage costs, is expected to end October 2026 at approximately 3.2%. This follows a September close of 3.3%, as **Eurozone** banks maintain mortgage credit criteria while tightening consumer loans.

Current economic data shows the Consumer Price Index reached 3.8% in September, exceeding the **European Central Bank**'s 2% target. With oil prices above projections, the ECB, led by **Christine Lagarde**, has adjusted interest rates in two of its six 2026 meetings.

**Pimco** analysts forecast a rate hike in December 2026, predicting the deposit facility rate will rise from 2.5% to 2.75%. Market attention now turns to the Eurozone third-quarter GDP data, which is scheduled for publication on Friday, 30 October 2026.



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